All Prediction Markets

Will I make Texas ARML Silver+ 1 platforms · —

Will the White House drop more lofi beats? 1 platforms · —

Will I accept a travel stipend to attend a prediction markets event in Zurich in a month? 1 platforms · —

Will the folding iPhone include “iPhone” in the name? 1 platforms · —

yes Al Horford: 2+,no Los Angeles C wins by over 16.5 points 1 platforms · —

yes Atlanta,no Los Angeles A wins by over 2.5 runs 1 platforms · —

yes Al Horford: 2+,yes Draymond Green: 2+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 4+,no Los Angeles C wins by over 16.5 points 1 platforms · —

yes Arthur Fils,yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Joao Fonseca,yes Houston,yes San Diego,yes A's,yes Los Angeles D,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes VGK Golden Knights,yes SJ Sharks,yes LA Kings,yes COL Avalanche,yes WPG Jets,yes EDM Oilers,yes Elisabetta Cocciaretto,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Coco Gauff,yes Hailey Baptiste,yes Leylah Fernandez,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Elena Rybakina,yes Dominika Salkova,yes Sorana Cirstea 1 platforms · —

yes Cal Raleigh: 1+,yes Brandon Nimmo: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Golden State 1 platforms · —

yes Tyrese Maxey: 10+,yes Orlando,yes Desmond Bane: 30+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+ 1 platforms · —

yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Randy Vásquez: 2+,yes Emerson Hancock: 2+ 1 platforms · —

yes Kristaps Porziņģis: 15+,yes Stephen Curry: 25+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 25+,yes Paolo Banchero: 6+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 10+ 1 platforms · —

yes Randy Vásquez: 4+,yes Bennedict Mathurin: 10+,yes Al Horford: 4+,yes Bennedict Mathurin: 4+ 1 platforms · —

yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Los Angeles A,yes Tampa Bay,yes Toronto,yes Los Angeles C,yes Philadelphia,yes DAL Stars,yes VGK Golden Knights 1 platforms · —

yes Orlando,yes Stephen Curry: 20+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 25+,yes Draymond Green: 4+,yes Kristaps Porziņģis: 6+ 1 platforms · —

Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? 1 platforms · —

Will Anthropic open applications for its Cyber Verification Program before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Trump raise the global Section 122 tariff rate to 15% before June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Elon Musk and OpenAI announce a settlement in their federal lawsuit before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will GPT-5.4 Thinking become available in the ChatGPT iOS app before May 15, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Trump violate the ceasefire directly in Iran? 1 platforms · —

Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Ro Khanna win Ca17? (Kalshi) 1 platforms · —

Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026. 1 platforms · —

Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027? 1 platforms · —

In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? 1 platforms · —

Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? 1 platforms · —

Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? 1 platforms · —

Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? 1 platforms · —

Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year? 1 platforms · —

Will any more blockade be set up in international waters before June, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Mark Sanford win his congressional race? 1 platforms · —

Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27? 1 platforms · —

Will there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak? 1 platforms · —

Will the "Biosecurity Modernization and Innovation Act of 2026" (S.3741) or a successor bill containing a mandate...? 1 platforms · —

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27? 1 platforms · —

Frontier AI model hits 50%+ on METR Rogue Replication/RepliBench by '27? 1 platforms · —

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27? 1 platforms · —

Any frontier AI company states AI fully managed >$1M training run by '27? 1 platforms · —

Two+ of OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepMind adopt new MonitorBench for monitor-aware evasion by '27? 1 platforms · —

The typical cryonics brain is well-preserved 1 platforms · —

Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? 1 platforms · —

Will Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —

Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —

Will any frontier LLM provider introduce a model explicitly optimized for aesthetic judgment or ‘taste’ in 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Deepseek V4 be released before June 1 2026 1 platforms · —

Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election? 1 platforms · —

Will it rain in Amsterdam on 2026-04-15? 1 platforms · —

Will Amsterdam high temperature exceed 18°C on 2026-04-16? 1 platforms · —