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All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the U.S. and Iran announce a new ceasefire agreement before September 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Don Jr's net worth be greater than $700 million at the end of Trump 2.0? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "Sequent: scale and automation for higher conf..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo play at the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will owning a self driving car become cheaper than driving yourself due to insurance before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Victor Wembanyama cry after winning/losing the NBA finals? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will somebody perform an assassination attempt on Mark Zuckerberg before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will EXACTLY 2 of the following people (@jatloe, @DottedCalculator, @121, @E142) bet on this market by resolve date? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will OpenAI or Google announce an release a reduction to image generation filters around nudity by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Doctors Without Borders report 16,767,670 outpatient consultations in its 2026 International Activity Report? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Machines Lack Honour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. durable goods orders rise at least 1.0% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Claude Fable 5 be a accessible in a Claude max 20x subscription on June 23 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brendan Sorsby play a snap for Texas Tech during the 2026 season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will any psychedelic be rescheduled from Schedule I before January 1, 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I still be sad by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Based Bodyworks announce Based Condoms by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will England, Argentina, and Germany each finish first in their respective groups at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bitcoin be above $69K on both 6/9 AND 9/6 in 2027? (June 9th and Sept 6th) 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I get a hard conversation with my Math coach at beginning of next schoolyear? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I resolve this as yes or no? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Scotland finish in the top 2 of their World Cup group? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the S&P500 be down greater than 1% in a week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Dissolving the Deep Learning Sample Efficienc..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brent crude oil settle at or above $100/barrel on any trading day before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the SSPX catholics incur excommunications in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Switzerland win Group B of the 2026 World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ghana finish in the top 2 of their World Cup group? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI? 1 platforms · —science
- Will New Zealand score a goal at the 2026 fifa mens World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will AMM 2026 release scores next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jose Luis Ricon be NFT'd by EOY2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Austria finish in the top two of Group J at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- will JOSE LUIS RICON donate to shrimp welfare project by2040 1 platforms · —other
- will alok singh have a birthday party in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Alok Singh's brain be uploaded to ASI? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Alok Singh, Nate Bottman, Ryan Alweiss, or Elliot Glazer ever win the Alternative Fields Medal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any western country deny women the vote in the 21st century? 1 platforms · —other