Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- The 2026 MLB World Series will be tied 2-2 or stand at 4-0 after Game 4. 1 platforms · —sports
- Will a share of SpaceX be worth $150 or more one year after IPO? 1 platforms · —science
- What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded for a trade package including 6 or more draft picks(1st and 2nd rounders included)? 1 platforms · —other
- Wealth tax: Will a G7 country enact a 1% billionaire minimum tax before 2033? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a NBA team repeat win Back to Back Championships in the next 5 years? 1 platforms · —sports
- Starmer out before December? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Serena Williams play singles at Wimbledon 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Dan J. Sullivan be on the ballot as a Republican for the US Senate Primary election in Alaska? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any the weights for any new Qwen Model >=100B parameters release before 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a trillionaire not named Elon Musk by end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will Christopher Nolan have a new film release in 2027 or 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a drone emoji before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year 1 platforms · —other
- Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Donald Trump praise Allah again before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Jews destroy Al-Aqsa Mosque 1 platforms · —other
- Will al-aqsa mosque be destroyed by Jews 1 platforms · —other
- time and location of signing ceremony for us iran deal announced this week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will we discover a fourth transmissible mammal cancer by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Why Grind for Hours When Wowvendor Can Get You Wow Gold in Minutes? 1 platforms · —other
- This market resolves to whatever you persuade me to. 1 platforms · —other
- Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the UK win Eurovision before England wins the World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be the pirate king 1 platforms · —economics
- Will there be 4 hat tricks in the World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I beat Predictle in 1 turn TWICE by 7/7/26? (First time I won in 1 turn today does not count!) 1 platforms · —other
- Will AT LEAST one of Curaçao, Ivory Coast, or Uzbekistan make it to the top 3 in the FIFA world cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the Sunshine Protection Act or permanent DST become law by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "Machinic Psychopharmacology: Do LLMs Self-Med..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Anime For Kids? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Q2 2026 U.S. gross domestic purchases price index rise at least 3.0% in the advance GDP estimate? 1 platforms · —economics
- will judge judy reach 100 years old? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Israel hold an election in 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the advance estimate of Q2 2026 U.S. real GDP growth be at least 2.0%? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will my "Be My Fashion Consultant" event at Manifest cause me to acquire at least two clothing items that excite me? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Estimating No-CoT Task-Completion Time Horizo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I (McPqndq) reach IGM on Codeforces before the 2026 ICPC World Finals. 1 platforms · —other
- XRP BELOW $1 THIS WEEK? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX launch a non-SpaceX payload on Starship before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the ICP Dashboard show at least 3,367,670 ICP holders on March 28, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will going to the Bay Area / manifest cause my AI timelines to change? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the U.S. and Iran announce a new ceasefire agreement before September 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other