Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- WILL BRUNO FERNANDES BREAK THE PREMIER LEAGUE ASSIST RECORD THIS SEASON 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Having OCD is like living in North Korea (Her..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic's next ARR figure show an accelerating % growth rate? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Rumen Radev become the new Bulgarian prime minister? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Motivation market 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will BigSarr (@thegreekfreak) have sexual intercourse (PIV) in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James score 35 or more points in any game of the 2026 First Round? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my Jura C9 coffee maker survive five years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic's API uptime fall below 98% in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- weird al will release a parody of a billboard top 100 song in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will MNX hire a quant trader before June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I attend Manifest? 1 platforms · —other
- Will jat miss a MOPdle day in the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the first pick of the NFL draft be locked in within 4 minutes of being “on the clock”? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Reevaluating "AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I sleep before midnight any day this week? 1 platforms · —other
- To what extent will Tottenham Hotspur pull a RiBer Plate? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I complete all my pressing tasks this week? 1 platforms · —other
- will I post 2 blogposts per day for all of April? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Exit 8 be nominated for an Oscar in any category? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Siberian Node’s generative pipeline render traditional Hollywood studio production obsolete by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- will Loki lose to IMU 1 platforms · —other
- Guilherme Carneiro Leao vs Augusto Amorim 1 platforms · —other
- Augusto Amorim vence o X1 contra Guilherme Carneiro Leão? (Sim ou Não) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Uar Bernard get drafted in the 2026 NFL draft? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the next New Glenn mission be a success? 1 platforms · —other
- Arbitrary resolution market (see description) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jared Isaacman leave the position of NASA Administrator by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "If a room feels off the lighting is probably ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I earn more than Ṁ100 in commissions from this market? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be over 8 teams that trade on Day 1 of the NFL Draft? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the NTSD ETF be shut down? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Quality Matters Most When Stakes are Highest" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my Wikipedia 60-day edited articles viewcount exceed 1 million in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will President Paul Biya of Cameroon appoint a Vice President before April 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Barron Trump graduate from NYU Stern School of Business? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Zion Williamson ever play a playoff game? 1 platforms · —other
- If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I reach 2000 elo on chess.com by eoy 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Platypus considered threatened by IUCN before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get accepted to MCSP 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- If I try to replace the battery in my Motorola Edge, will I succeed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the battery in my Motorola Edge totally fail before I stop using it due to the phone otherwise getting too old? 1 platforms · —science