All Prediction Markets

Will the battery in my Motorola Edge totally fail before I stop using it due to the phone otherwise getting too old? 1 platforms · —

Will Jannik Sinner win all the clay court Masters 1000 tournaments in 2026? 1 platforms · —

PSG vs Bayern, Champions League Semi Final Leg 1, April 28th 1 platforms · —

Atletico vs Arsenal, Champions League Semi Final Leg 1, April 29th 1 platforms · —

Will "Carpathia Day" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —

Will a bright comet be observed in the northern hemisphere before 2030? 1 platforms · —

Will Trump visit Pakistan in April 2026? 1 platforms · —

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —

Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —

Will Peter Magyar be a liberal in his first year in office? 1 platforms · —

Will xAI/SpaceX acquire Cursor in 2026? 1 platforms · —

will jose luis ricon attend vitalist bay 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —

Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)? 1 platforms · —

Will I be offered a quant role before 2030? [read desc] 1 platforms · —

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration? 1 platforms · —

Will Israel attack Iraq in December 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory? 1 platforms · —

Gay NHL Player out before 2027 1 platforms · —

Will WTI crude oil hit $75 in April 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Peter Magyar become Hungary's prime minister by May 5, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a second direct diplomatic meeting before May 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will "Do not conquer what you cannot defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —

On June 1, will OpenAI be valued higher than Anthropic? 1 platforms · —

Will Nick Shirley suffer legal consequences for his "reporting"? 1 platforms · —

Will Spaceballs: The New One release on April 23, 2027? 1 platforms · —

Will Anthropic's lawsuit against the Pentagon be settled out of court before August 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will Kon Knueppel have more than 300 3pt makes in the 2026-27 NBA regular season? 1 platforms · —

Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026 1 platforms · —

Will OpenAI publicly release the model codenamed 'Spud' (as GPT-5.5, GPT-6, or any other name) by May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will the US-Iran ceasefire (set to expire April 21, 2026) be extended or replaced by another formal pause before then? 1 platforms · —

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will the US lift its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will SpaceX Starship Flight 12 (the first Version 3 launch) successfully clear the pad by June 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? 1 platforms · —

Will TSLA close higher on April 23, 2026 than on April 22, 2026 (the day after Q1 earnings)? 1 platforms · —

Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on any day between April 16 and May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —

PSG wins ucl 1 platforms · —

Will cancellations at CDG exceed 100/day average over the week of June 7-13? 1 platforms · —

yes Jeremiah Jackson: 2+,yes Pete Alonso: 2+ 1 platforms · —

yes Leeds United,yes Cleveland,yes Charlotte,yes Phoenix,yes LA Kings,yes COL Avalanche,yes WPG Jets,yes EDM Oilers,yes Inter,yes Como 1 platforms · —

yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Coby White: 1+,yes Kon Knueppel: 1+,yes Desmond Bane: 1+,yes Charlotte,yes Brandon Miller: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,no Phoenix wins by over 11.5 points 1 platforms · —

yes Cal Raleigh: 1+,yes Dominic Canzone: 1+,yes Jackson Merrill: 2+ 1 platforms · —

yes Charlotte,yes Coby White: 10+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Jalen Green: 15+,yes Golden State wins by over 1.5 points 1 platforms · —

yes Rafael Jodar,yes Leverkusen,yes Dortmund,yes Bayern Munich,yes Leeds United,yes Newcastle,yes Aston Villa,yes Nottingham,yes Manchester City,yes Liverpool,yes Tottenham,yes Real Madrid,yes Lens,yes Lille,yes Monaco,yes PSG,yes Cleveland,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D,yes COL Avalanche,yes EDM Oilers,yes Inter,yes Napoli,yes Juventus,yes Milan 1 platforms · —

yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes NSH Predators,yes LA Kings,yes COL Avalanche,yes WPG Jets,yes UTA Mammoth,yes EDM Oilers,yes Over 5.5 goals scored 1 platforms · —