Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Nirvanna The Band The Show The Movie be nominated for an Oscar? 1 platforms · —other
- WIll I get A grilfirend before next friday? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a meeting between former President Obama and Pope Leo XIV be announced before August 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- [SHORT FUSE] Will the US publicly confirm that they agreed to unfreezing some of Iran's assets before April 14th? 1 platforms · —other
- Godrej Bannerghatta Road Bangalore 1 platforms · —other
- Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon? 1 platforms · —other
- How far east will In-N-Out have expanded by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC? 1 platforms · —other
- Will we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Squadron 42 be commercially released by end of December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Japan become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Canada become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- will @OfficialStellar be a millionaire in 10 years time? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I promote to Masters this season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "If Mythos actually made Anthropic employees 4..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —economics
- AI wins FTL using screen input and mouse/keyboard before 2027 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- By EOY2100, will the Moon host a giant toilet? 1 platforms · —other
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Caryslia Rodríguez be replaced as President of the Venezuelan Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ) before May 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Banská Štiavnica high temperature exceed 12°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bibinje high temperature exceed 23°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bratislava high temperature exceed 21°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will it rain in Bratislava on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —science
- Will it rain in London on 2026-04-13? 1 platforms · —science
- Will London high temperature exceed 15°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kino Casino be unbanned on Youtube by the end of 4/20? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Dario probably doesn't believe in superintell..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- yes Toronto,yes Cleveland,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 20+,yes Bam Adebayo: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 20+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 15+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 20+,yes Paul George: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Daniel Merida,yes Viktoriya Tomova 1 platforms · —other
- yes BOS Bruins,yes NYI Islanders,yes Over 6.5 goals scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Toronto,yes Philadelphia,yes CJ McCollum: 15+,yes Jalen Johnson: 15+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 15+,yes Immanuel Quickley: 10+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Miles Bridges: 10+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Darius Garland: 10+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 10+,yes Donovan Clingan: 10+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Jannik Sinner,yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Hamad Medjedovic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Daniel Merida,yes Vitaliy Sachko,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Alexandre Muller,yes Mirra Andreeva 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cam Schlittler: 5+,yes Drew Rasmussen: 4+,yes Aaron Judge: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Tottenham,yes Newcastle wins by over 1.5 goals,no Osasuna wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Inter wins by over 1.5 goals 1 platforms · —other
- yes CJ McCollum: 10+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 15+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Freddy Peralta: 5+,yes Tarik Skubal: 6+,no San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs 1 platforms · —other