Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Syrah Vidalia 6-month AAM production exceed 9000 t for the period ending March 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- [SHORT FUSE] Will WTI oil prices exceed $150/barrel before April 10? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- If AGI has an okay outcome, will it be via the MIRI path of a pause ended with the help of some other technology? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 6000 USD/t on March 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Who is winrr vs mi no rr win yes mi 1 platforms · —other
- Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for March 2027 exceed 75 t? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US suffer 1000 confirmed combat deaths in Iran in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any OEM be producing LLZO solid-state battery packs at commercial scale (≥1 GWh/year) by December 31, 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 38 USD/kg on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China ZOC (zirconium oxychloride) price exceed 5500 USD/t on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a mantis shrimp connectome by EOY2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will kkr win ipl 26 1 platforms · —other
- Will Minicircle use fusogen delivery in at least one person by EOY2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a newly discovered prime enter the Top 20 largest known primes by end of April 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling? 1 platforms · —other
- will there be an indiana resident who qualifies for ARML tiebreakers 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jose Luis Ricon bake a cake for @Lydia in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? 1 platforms · —politics
- If AI has an okay outcome and there was no special effort, was it because alignment was easy? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- If AI has an okay outcome, was it because of humanity doing something beyond business-as-usual? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Mojtaba KhamenGay? 1 platforms · —other
- Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Mi win 2026 ipl 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Trump get angry at a journalist during his next speech? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will FP8 be the primary pretraining precision for a majority of frontier models released in 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid 1 platforms · —science
- Will Molymet's Chilean rhenium APR facility be at normal operations on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global primary rhenium production exceed 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceed 8000 USD/kg on March 31, 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 48 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX IPA by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the next nuclear bomb end a worldwide conflict, or be the beginning of one? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will ceasefire between US and Iran hold the two weeks announced by Trump ? 1 platforms · —politics
- S&p500 all time high close in April? 1 platforms · —other
- will I make FNCS 1 platforms · —other
- Will KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Donald Trump before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Comcast/Xfinity partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other