Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- S&P 500 increases on 8 April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days 1 platforms · —crypto
- LUCK8 1 platforms · —other
- Will Donald Trump Die before 2027 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "My picture of the present in AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Hollywood release an Iran F-15E rescue mission movie by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ucore's Alaska Strategic Metals Complex be producing Sm2O3 at commercial scale on June 30, 2028? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"? 1 platforms · —science
- Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will there be any kinetic action between India and Pakistan by the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple's foldable iPhone be called 'iPhone Ultra'? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Mandalorian and Grogu (May 22) beat The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $130.9M opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 debut with a Rotten Tomatoes Critic Score > 75%? 1 platforms · —other
- Ще изплиска ли легена Стоян Колев 1 platforms · —other
- Will I judge that trump has TACO'd again before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- "Will Orion (AI EdTech Startup) reach a $1B 'Unicorn' valuation by end of December 31, 2028?" 1 platforms · —science
- Who will win: Arsenal or Sporting Lisboa? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the current US x Iran ceasefire hold? 1 platforms · —other
- goog ath april? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Argentina's March 2026 inflation exceed 3%? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Javokhir Sindarov break the record for most points in the FIDE candidates tournament? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a second Manifold Prize Drawing in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I win a prize in the prize drawing? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The effects of caffeine consumption do not de..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- will my company allow me to work remote? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX hit $100m in volume 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Max Verstappen race in 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I appear on TBPN in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Do you think Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour (Official Video)” will cross 20M YouTube views before April 2026 ends? 1 platforms · —other
- will I be in masters league in every season in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an individualised ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I pass all 3 of my A-Levels this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Daily Coinflip 1 platforms · —sports