Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will "Mathematicians are Feeling the Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will DDR DRAM exceed 32 Gbit per-die density before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Title: Will DDR DRAM exceed 32 Gbit per-die density before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an Atlantic hurricane form on or before August 20, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a soccer final between Spain and Argentina be repeated before 2027? 1 platforms · —sports
- Does the actions of Israel in West Bank and Gaza are inhuman? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an independent source confirm Grok 4's SWE-bench performance within 10 points of xAI's claimed 72-75% by 9.15, 2020 1 platforms · —science
- What day will I next log on to manifold markets in 2026*? See description. 1 platforms · —other
- Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- 1h of train commute from Utrecht means more than ~2 times the average for people commuting in the Netherlands 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will any driver competing in the WRC2 Championship outscore a WRC driver in the WRC Championship? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get my licence in time for my flight ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will more than 8 bots trade on this market in the next week 1 platforms · —other
- Will I face a foul fate for the folly of foraging forays in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Bruninho irá perder pênalti na 7ª edição da Copa Gosa? 1 platforms · —other
- Na 7ª Copa Gosa terá briga entre jogadores ou não? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Lightcone Commons" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- A 7ª Copa Gosa terá um campeão inédito ou não? 1 platforms · —other
- O Sacanas passará para a semis na 7ª edição da Copa Gosa? 1 platforms · —other
- On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film? 1 platforms · —other
- Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will any NFL game end in a tie this regular season (2026-27)? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will both teams score at least 1 goal in the FIFA 2030 world cup final game? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Coventry score against Arsenal in the Opening Match of the 2026/2027 Season ? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I fly to ESPR? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Argentina being favoured by FIFA? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Harry Kane Win The Golden Boots 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get a higher grade than קרני at חדוא 2 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Are we existentially threatened by the type o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Andy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Calvin McCarter still be employed at BigHat Biosciences on August 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Isaac King set his curtain on fire? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "We should push for no-fault liability for act..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United Kingdom be a member of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization before end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will 16 or more MLB regular-season games go to extra innings from July 25 through August 5, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will Hasan wear his Mao / Chinese suit at another public event by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi] 1 platforms · —other
- Will @she_llac be mentioned in Apple's security patch notes before the end of this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an Anthropic model autonomously hack an external entity in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Interest rates above 10% before 2030? 1 platforms · —economics