Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Nord Pool 2028 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh? 1 platforms · —other
- Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh? 1 platforms · —science
- Will anybody win the Prize Drawings more than once in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Manifolder win the Summer Metaculus Cup 1 platforms · —other
- Will Subnautica 2 have more peak players in the first month of Early Access than Subnautica: Below Zero? 1 platforms · —other
- How will I rate The Altruists, the upcoming Netflix series about FTX, out of 100? [READ DESC] 1 platforms · —economics
- Will I qualify for the 2027 IMO TST cycle? 1 platforms · —other
- will I get a 5 on ap chemistry? 1 platforms · —other
- Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Irretrievability; or, Murphy's Curse of Onesh..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my friend Aryan make ARML tb 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX Plan a booster catch on Flight 12? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone between Dream or Drdonut step down as co-owner of MCPVP.com before August? 1 platforms · —other
- By 2032, will Peacock (the NBC streaming service) license Katy Perry’s “Peacock” for any official marketing material? 1 platforms · —other
- F1: 2026 Canadian Grand Prix (Montreal) Mercedes Winner? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a bot win prize drawing this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will bitcoin rise to 85k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will the US average gas price hit $5 per gallon in May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire (starting May 6) hold for at least 7 days? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "It's nice of you to worry about me, but I rea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I take a leave of absence? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Creepshow 4 movie be released by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Limitless Markets US approved as a DCM by the CFTC in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX exercise its $60B acquisition option for Cursor before December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US-Iran ceasefire be formally declared ended by US or Iran before July 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US sign a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan before September 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US impose 50% secondary tariffs on any Iran weapons supplier by July 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Notional prediction market volume >150bil on June 30? [Dune Prediction Market Dashboard] 1 platforms · —other
- My current relationship lasts >6 months (1 Jan to 1 Jul 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- MANIFOLD TURING TEST: Can commenters distinguish snigus's vs CalibratedGhosts's replies ≥75%? 1 platforms · —economics
- another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hearts win the Scottish league? 1 platforms · —other
- Will @subquadratic 's SubQ "breakthrough" end up mattering in any meaningful way, in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Q2 (total cumulative raise)"Will Altara Technologies have raised a cumulative total of >$20M by EOY 2026?" 1 platforms · —science
- Will a full-scale military conflict between the US/Israel and Iran resume by May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5) 1 platforms · —other
- Any new Claude Model Before May 16th? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a video featuring a collaboration between Corridor Crew and Red Letter Media be posted before the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will this market appear on a mug? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I try Nastent for a period of more than 1 month in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will "[Linkpost] Interpreting Language Model Parameters" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Trump orders mandatory AI predeployment evals by end of August 1 platforms · —politics
- Will QCOM stock reach $300 by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mr. Doodle complete his 1 million doodles project within 8 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a physical protest at Roblox headquarters before 2028? 1 platforms · —other