Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a debate for >$10k before EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- US Gas Price hits $4(NO) or $5(YES) Next? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic become profitable this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will @EliezerYudkowsky pose in a five-guys-wearing-fedoras-behind-Aella-who-is-on-a-sofa picture before 2027? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Terminator2 have more Manifold followers than CalibratedGhosts on 2026-05-20? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Manifest 2027 have the option to buy tickets using mana? 1 platforms · —other
- If ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone get me to post 🌀 in the comments on this market [Convince the Machine #9] 1 platforms · —other
- Will ekkolapto come to one of https://semf.org.es/events/all.html in 2026/2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon Musk say the word “misanthropic” again before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will @grins or @megahertz fakesolve a TSTST problem with the Method of Moving Points? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will anyone trick me into sending them exactly M$1000 via managram? [Convince the Machine #10] 1 platforms · —other
- Will Homelander Die in The Boys? 1 platforms · —other
- Arsenal vs PSG, Champions League Grand Final 1 platforms · —other
- Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4? 1 platforms · —other
- If Iran’s regime falls by Dec 31 2027, will the trigger be external? 1 platforms · —other
- Will @E142 write a comment asking @DottedCalculator a question on this market (and @DottedCalculator responds)? 1 platforms · —other
- Wall St: JPMC Banker prevails in "sex slave" lawsuit resulting in favorable economic outcome for plaintiff 1 platforms · —science
- will i get gold at amm 2026 1 platforms · —other
- @MarySmith attends Manifest '26? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kalshi or Polymarket be convicted of fraud before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my matcha drinking tall Tate Mcrae obsessed abb friend pull anyone at MOP 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude replace Grok on X in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I complete 2 tasks every day for this week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my friend go on a date by the end of May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Manifold post another investor update before a full year has passed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Taking woo seriously but not literally" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be at least one red card in PSG Arsenal Champions League Final? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş ever be World Chess Champion? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my prediction market idea win? 1 platforms · —other
- Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a vaccine against the Andes virus (hantavirus) be tested in humans before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "x-risk-themed" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will OKLO reach $200 by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Are prediction markets going to play a noticeable role in the Conclave 1492 simulation in June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The purposeful drunkard" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will https://vivarium.sh/ still exist by EOY2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will this market close between 60% - 70% 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another Killer Klowns movie released by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a medical AI bot outperform Human MDs on the USMLE Step 3 before May 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I break a bone before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Natural Language Autoencoders Produce Unsuper..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will eBay use the domain half.com to respond to the GameStop offer before July? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Apple stop selling the $599 MacBook Neo SKU before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will attendees of Minecraft Experience: Moonlight Trail receive a new exclusive Minecraft cape? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026? 1 platforms · —other