Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Iran develop a Nuclear Weapon before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Elections in Ukraine called before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Zelenskyy out before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will T1 beat KT on July 29? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Specialization is a Driver of Natural Ontology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back his loan? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a new Farm Bill become law by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I finish listening to the Book of Isaiah by July 26, 2026? (I started this morning, but I'm going on a 4-day trip.) 1 platforms · —science
- Will Troy Jackson be the 2028 Democratic nominee for vice president? 1 platforms · —politics
- LUCKJILI 1 platforms · —other
- Somebody tries to manipulate a regulated drug trial to win money on a prediction market before September 2029 1 platforms · —other
- Benefits of using rate engine software for shipping pricing 1 platforms · —economics
- Will any of these progressives be on the Democratic ticket in 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?* 1 platforms · —other
- Will I weigh >140lbs at the end of August? 1 platforms · —other
- If Judit Polgár becomes President of Hungary, will she play an in-person game of chess with a world leader this year. 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Remco Evenepoel be in 1st place at the conclusion of any stage of the 2026 Tour de France? 1 platforms · —other
- Silver below $50/ oz by close on Friday? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Judit Polgár become the next President of Hungary? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count) 1 platforms · —science
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2027 Stanley Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 World Cup trophy presentation ceremony? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Donald Trump do his famous dance during the World Cup trophy presentation? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I complete the Wind River High Route (vSkurka)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I walk 25 minutes or more 8 times by August 1, 2026? (I walked 25 mins this morning for the first time in a while.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? 1 platforms · —politics
- In a month, will Gemini 2.5 Pro in AI village fall into delusions again? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a NATO member provide humanitarian aid to Russia before 2035? 1 platforms · —science
- Will we learn that somebody started/extended a wildfire to win money on a prediction market before September 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will Polymarket have perps on private equity valuations before Kalshi? 1 platforms · —other
- What number model will OpenAI be on by EOY? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Paul Seixas win a grand tour before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the UK have greater access to US frontier AI than France in 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- In 2028,will at least 350,000 Americans be talking weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion? 1 platforms · —science
- Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Trump finish his second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Manchester City defeat Inter Milan in their pre-season friendly on August 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Jesse OR Mochi wins Masters Season 39 1 platforms · —other
- Jack OR Jesse wins Masters Season 39 1 platforms · —other
- [ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I complete my next job interview? 1 platforms · —other
- Não irá ter uma guerra nuclear hoje no Brasil 1 platforms · —other