Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Mr. Beast run a red button vs. blue button video by the end of the year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 47fucb4r8curb4fc8f8r4bfic8r vs. Eliezer debate be posted publicly before June? 1 platforms · —other
- Penalty shootout in champions league semi final? 2025/2026 season 1 platforms · —other
- Will any current Labour MP call for Keir Starmer to stand down after the local elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- If the PM after the next election is Green, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Kamala announce a run in 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will US Average Gas Prices rise or fall 10 cents in one day in May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Red vs. Blue button (Free Mana, resolves N/A) 1 platforms · —other
- USA vs Iran in World Cup 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Chinese airline announce a purchase of at least 25 Boeing aircraft before June? 1 platforms · —science
- Will MNX hire a backend developer before Manifest? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I make IMO in 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will an AI system discover information theory from first principles before 2031? 1 platforms · —science
- S&P500 closes at 7,500.00 before End Of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a movie based on the game R.E.P.O. be released before EO 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Network Ten (Australia), The Cheap Seats, mention Manifold Markets before the end of June 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get 90%+ in all my courses this semester? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Bitcoin $69K in May? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will Google announce Gemini 4 at I/O 2026 (May 19-20)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Android 17 be officially released to consumers by October 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple announce Gemini-powered Siri features at WWDC 2026 (June 8-12)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will ClankerView get 100 paying users in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Anthropic announces dedicated "Operon" tool for bio/health/other research before June 1, 2026 1 platforms · —science
- Will Prabowo Subianto be re-elected to a second term in the 2029 Indonesian Presidential Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I stay in Masters League this season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ad Brothers beat Mochi? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the MN Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche in the second round of the 2026 Stanley Cup playoffs? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the NFL use replacement (non-NFLRA) on-field officials in any Week 1 game of the 2026 regular season? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with this market in May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Couriway finish his 100k run challenge? 1 platforms · —other
- Will codex or Claude code be shown to mass deleting someone's hard drive if it suspects biorisk or illegal activity? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the face of Jose Luis Ricon be minted on a physical coin by 2222 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" gross greater than $102.5M in its domestic opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mr. Wengel give Arjun Harkar an A in AP Euro 1 platforms · —other
- XQC plays RLcraft again before June? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Iran's food stockpile run out within 3 months? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get kicked out of the singing workshop tomorrow 1 platforms · —other
- Free Lottery (Kamiokande) 1 platforms · —other
- Will USD strengthen against EUR in the next 24h? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I get an AI lab offer? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "How Go Players Disempower Themselves to AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the winner of the 2026 Kentucky Derby finish in under 2:02.00? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will more MLB managers get fired in the 2026 MLB season than in the 2025 MLB season? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "The paper that killed deep learning theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- will i keep my gf by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026? 1 platforms · —other