Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Samuel rank at least 18th on the 2027 U.S. baby name list? (Samuel is ranked 18th on the list released in 2026.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —economics
- Steph Curry traded before new season starts? 1 platforms · —other
- FIFA President be sacked? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will @Quroe be the next moderator to ban me? 1 platforms · —other
- NFL: Will 8 or more games in Week 1 be decided by one possession (8 points or fewer)? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms? 1 platforms · —other
- If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- Goldsbet Bangladesh - Top Online Betting & Casino Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will a top 5 US fast-food chain launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally by end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol? 1 platforms · —other
- will anyone from alexey guzey newscience become https://www.cosmos-institute.org/grants by eoy2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "LLMs Can't See Pixels or Characters" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Betjili Bangladesh - Top Online Casino & Sports Betting Platform 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Jason Arday's 'Great and Unfortunate Things' be available for purchase in the UK on or before August 27, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will interest in lab grown diamond stud earrings continue to grow in the US by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- A problem proposed by AI appears on IMO 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before November 11th, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Nagad88 Bangladesh - Premium Online Betting & Gaming Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth? 1 platforms · —other
- If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week 1 platforms · —other
- Minecraft RSG no-reset average time by AI below 25 min before EOY 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Wero reach 10 countries before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lego operate three factories in the Americas at the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Hasan play any video game on stream in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Corgi go bankrupt? 1 platforms · —other
- Free Lottery (past attractor) 1 platforms · —other
- Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will U answer this question 1 platforms · —other
- does 1 + 1 = 2 1 platforms · —other
- Leader of the GC after stage 9 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España 1 platforms · —other
- SpaceX vs Tesla - Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Tesla on Dec. 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any given day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27) 1 platforms · —other
- jeetwin - বাংলাদেশের অন্যতম জনপ্রিয় অনলাইন বেটিং ও ক্যাসিনো সাইট 1 platforms · —other
- Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Geert Wilders remain the sole registered member of the PVV (Partij voor de Vrijheid) until EOY 2035? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Larry Cao Get A GF by 9th Grade 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Dec 31 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will James Micheltorena make the Mathcounts team this year 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Loop Gear SK07 reach 90% of its stated 2800 lumen max output after 30 seconds of runtime on turbo mode 1 platforms · —other
- Will Abdul El Sayed win the Michigan Democratic primary for senate by 10.00000% or more? 1 platforms · —politics