Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Lake Powell dip below elevation 3,490 ft, which is “minimum power pool” prior to May 1 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hampshire College be open in 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Manifolder noticeably improve my life in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SF Prop D, June 2026, pass? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I lose my current job by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I be alive at the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will this self-referential market reach 50 unique traders before June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Trailer for Star Fox movie or tv show before 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- BTC closes above 85k at end of month? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will "Maybe I was too harsh on deep learning theory..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jack Nicastro ever be chair of the Federal Trade Commission? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will AOC endorse Saikat Chakrabarti? 1 platforms · —science
- What % of Anthropic's IPO share price will the PreStocks Anthropic token trade at? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Parmita Mishra win the Nobel prize by 2060? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be promoted to Mana Gold by 12 am May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Isaak Freeman have a BIRTHDAY PARTY IN 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will JOSE LUIS RICON present at ONE OF cvpr neurips icml iclr aaai by EOY2036? 1 platforms · —science
- China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be able to build a bot that achieves #1 on the Gen 9 1v1 ladderboard on Pokemon Showdown before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Mechanize.work team have to hire bodyguards/bomb scanners by EOY2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The AI Industrial Explosion — Part 1: Maximum..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the USD to IDR rate reach IDR 17,845 before 17th August 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the Trump-branded Trump Mobile Phone actually exist before the next Presidential election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be a 70+ page biography of Lada nuzhna by eoy2030 1 platforms · —other
- Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SPY close above $737.62 on Friday, May 15, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Germany pass a law that allows a weekly maximum working time of 48 hours per week before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "The Iliad Intensive Course Materials" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Russia gain more territory than it loses in May 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Polymarket IPO on December 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- KHL finals: Lokomotiv vs Ak Bars 1 platforms · —other
- Will a "Raymond" represent Indonesia to the IMO before 2043? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Solana trade above $100 by the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Flygon get a mega evolution by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ciconia: When They Cry Phase 2 be released by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- China mainland will have the broadcasting rights for the World Cup 2026 by the end of May 2026 1 platforms · —science
- Will Andy Burnham be an MP at the same time Keir Starmer is PM? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Owned Ones" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Gameoverse Pilot reach 25 million views by the end of June? 1 platforms · —other
- Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ryan Cohen pull a bunch of shenanigans at eBay (without buying it)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jose Luis Ricon live to see 600ppm 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —politics
- If the Googlebook is launched, will it still be available a year later? 1 platforms · —science